
At the beginning of the season we questioned the use of statistics in football, and challenged their increasing use. Is there any meaningful relationship between the plethora of statistics available these days and the actual outcome of games? Or are they just an interesting addition to our football watching experience?
I am indebted to the website WhoScored.com, plus other resources, when considering the statistics widely available in respect of football these days. I have looked at a variety of statistical data whilst we are in the third international break after eleven games of the season, some of which is reproduced below.
|
League (Points) |
|
League (Home Pts) |
|
League (Away Pts) |
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|
1 |
Liverpool |
26 |
|
1 |
Chelsea |
15 |
|
1 |
Arsenal |
13 |
|
2 |
Chelsea |
25 |
|
2 |
Liverpool |
13 |
|
2 |
Liverpool |
13 |
|
3 |
Man City |
24 |
|
3 |
Burnley |
13 |
|
3 |
Man City |
12 |
|
4 |
Arsenal |
24 |
|
4 |
Man City |
12 |
|
4 |
Tottenham |
10 |
|
5 |
Tottenham |
21 |
|
5 |
Leicester |
11 |
|
5 |
Chelsea |
10 |
|
6 |
Man Utd |
18 |
|
6 |
Everton |
11 |
|
6 |
Man Utd |
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17 |
West Ham |
11 |
|
12 |
West Ham |
8 |
|
17 |
West Ham |
3 |
|
Shots per game |
|
Goals Scored |
|
Possession % |
||||||
|
1 |
Liverpool |
19.1 |
|
1 |
Liverpool |
30 |
|
1 |
Man City |
61.1 |
|
2 |
Man City |
17.9 |
|
2 |
Chelsea |
26 |
|
2 |
Liverpool |
57.9 |
|
3 |
Tottenham |
17.7 |
|
3 |
Man City |
25 |
|
3 |
Arsenal |
56.4 |
|
4 |
Man Utd |
17.4 |
|
4 |
Arsenal |
24 |
|
4 |
Tottenham |
56.0 |
|
5 |
Chelsea |
16.9 |
|
5 |
Man Utd |
16 |
|
5 |
Man Utd |
55.0 |
|
6 |
Southampton |
16.5 |
|
6 |
Crystal Palace |
16 |
|
6 |
Southampton |
54.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
West Ham |
14.5 |
|
15= |
West Ham |
11 |
|
11 |
West Ham |
50.7 |
|
Pass Success % |
|
Yellow Cards |
||||
|
1 |
Man Utd |
86.0 |
|
1 |
West Ham |
30 |
|
2 |
Man City |
85.3 |
|
2 |
West Brom |
29 |
|
3 |
Chelsea |
85.2 |
|
3 |
Watford |
28 |
|
4 |
Arsenal |
84.0 |
|
4 |
Man Utd |
24 |
|
5 |
Liverpool |
83.2 |
|
5 |
Sunderland |
24 |
|
6 |
Southampton |
82.6 |
|
6= |
Several Clubs |
23 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9 |
West Ham |
81.0 |
|
|
|
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A Few Observations
- Only one of the statistical tables is really important, and that is the total points attained at the end of the season. When we went into the third international break last season we were sixth, and eventually ended up seventh.
- The same six teams appear (though not in the same order) in respect of points attained away from home, compared to total points, so far this season.
- Five of the six teams at the top of the league have also had the most shots per game so far. The missing team is Arsenal, who, as we all know, tend not to shoot as often as some other teams, preferring to try to walk the ball into the goal. The team who have crept into the top six in this table is Southampton, although they only occupy eleventh place in the league at the moment.
- Once again, five of the six top teams in the league also appear at the top in the goals scored table. Tottenham are the missing team, but whilst they are just outside the top six in terms of goals scored, they have conceded fewer goals than any other team in the Premier League this season. Incidentally, there have also been the least number of goals scored (by both sides) in games involving Tottenham this season. So, statistically at least, we shouldn’t expect many goals on Saturday.
- The possession percentage also shows five of the six teams at the top of the league table, the missing team this time being Chelsea. Southampton, once again, creep into this table.
- The passing success percentage figures for the season to date also has five of the six teams in the league, Tottenham missing out once again, and Southampton appearing.
- I have added the West Ham data in the tables, and in virtually all respects, the statistical data suggests that we should perhaps be higher in the league? The fact that we are not is mainly due to our failure to turn shots into goals, and our defensive record, where only three clubs have conceded more goals than we have.
- The three teams who have scored the least goals, are the same teams who have conceded the most goals, and are also the same three teams that occupy the relegation positions at the moment, namely Hull, Swansea and Sunderland.
- I was determined to find a statistic where we appeared at the top of the league and found one. Yes, we have picked up more yellow cards (30) than any other team in the league after eleven games. There is very little correlation between yellow cards and league position, unlike most of the other statistical data.
- Whilst not claiming any meaningful relationship between the statistics in a particular match (after all Liverpool had 81% possession against Burnley and still lost the game), there would appear to be distinct similarities between a number of the statistical tables and league position over the course of several games. The amount of possession that a team has, how accurate it passes the ball, the number of shots and goals scored, all bear a striking similarity to the league position. Like all statistical data, there are exceptions to the rule, but these days it is big business, employing many people.
- I have only included a small selection of the statistics that are available. One that always makes me smile (that I haven’t included) is the distance covered by every player on the pitch. Quite how this is calculated cannot be an easy task, and you wonder how much relation it bears to the league table. But the last one I saw had Liverpool at the top for covering the furthest distance. Co-incidence?

Defeats to the teams you love to hate feature strongly in this week’s ‘Week in Hammer’s History’. We start with a routine 2-1 reverse at White Hart Lane in November 1982 in a match where we started the day in 2nd place sensing that victory could have put us top of the pile with 11 games played. Sadly that didn’t happen and, as with most of our opportunities to hit top spot, lines were fluffed and a collective freeze ensured that we would not reach the same dizzy heights again that season.
In the mid-1960’s there was a comedy programme on TV about two young football-mad Geordies. It was called the Likely Lads and was one of my favourites at the time. It starred a young James Bolan and Rodney Bewes. It was written by Dick Clement and Ian La Frenais, who wrote other successful comedy series such as Porridge and Auf Wiedersehen Pet.
It’s another international break and rather than going on holiday, twiddling their thumbs or feigning interest in England’s world cup progress most online media has turned its attention to the surefire fail-safe topic of the upcoming January transfer window; remeber there are only 81 shopping days to go and I, for one, am getting excited for the launch of the John Lewis Transfer Window video.
I wonder if Slaven Bilic would like to swap places with me. No I don’t mean that he becomes a writer and I become West Ham’s new football manager. I don’t think that either of us is cut out or suitably trained for the other one’s role. I was just wondering if he would like to swap his touchline view of the game with my seat in the upper tier of the East Stand. I don’t really want to swap, but for just one game I would like to watch the match from his vantage point on the touchline. I’d like to be able to see what he sees when he watches the game from there, because it seems to me that he watches a different game to me, judging by the decisions he makes regarding the team and tactics to be employed for each match. I’m not sure, but I think he would benefit from a different view too.
A Very Poor Spectacle Indeed