West Ham Monday Briefing: Window Pains, Ins and Outs, and Arsenal’s Overpriced Rejects

Time marches on and West Ham’s recruitment feels like it has fallen victim to the global tech outage. Time for the system to be rebooted if Lopetegui’s team are to hit the ground running.

The clock continues to tick. Minutes become hours, hours become days and the new Premier League season is less than four weeks away. Julen Lopetegui’s hope of having his new look squad in place and primed for action before the big kick-off is looking increasingly unrealistic. Two weeks have passed since the signing of Max Kilman and he remains the sole new recruit likely to be a regular starter when the season opens.

Last season’s threadbare squad has already seen the departure of a host of players: Thilo Kehrer, Said Benrahma, Pablo Fornals, Angelo Ogbonna, Flynn Downes and Ben Johnson. If the grapevine is to be believed, the club are also hoping to shift Kurt Zouma and Nayef Aguerd before the transfer window closes. There’s much work to be done – signing five or six players – and very little time left to do it in. Past performance of getting deals over the line is not encouraging.

No doubt everyone would have wanted to have made more progress by now. The transfer objectives are not simply a case of finding a few remaining pieces to complete a jigsaw, but rather starting work on a whole new puzzle. The longer it takes to make the right signings, the less time there is available to finesse the new tactical approach. A task made more difficult by international absences and the degree of change the new coach is hoping to introduce.

I’m sure the lack of progress is not down to a lack of effort by Tim Steidten and Lopetegui. It is not in their interests to stretch matters out. A slow start to the season – which we might realistically have to accept now – will immediately put the new regime under pressure.    

To date, I have recorded 122 players that West Ham have been linked to. To maintain one’s sanity it is best to accept that most are the pure fabrications of a self-sustaining, clickbait, gossip and rumour network co-ordinated by evil transfer mastermind Fabrizio Romano. However, the names of the eventual signings are probably hidden somewhere within that lengthy list.

Hoping to get your recruitment done early but only paying bargain prices were always going to be incompatible ambitions. This is the most obvious stumbling block for most deals until the final days of the window are reached. It is understandable in the days of FFP and PSR that buying clubs are ever more mindful of managing their budgets, while it makes sense for selling clubs to hold out for a better deal. It is a system that encourages last minute deals.

The Hammers desperate need to recruit ‘match ready’ starters will also limit the ability of Steidten to demonstrate his pearl diving expertise. The German’s true value to the club will only be obvious when he can regularly unearth the talents of future, whether that is from South America or the Dutch or Belgian leagues. Unfortunately this window Steidten has, by necessity, been forced to fish in the waters of already established players for his catch. It is the opposite of what many expected.

West Ham now head off to the USA to play friendlies against Wolves and Crystal Palace before returning to play Celta Vigo, a week before the season starts, in the Betway Cup. Friendlies are far more high profile these days than in the past where they largely passed unnoticed. Often, they are glorified kick-abouts but still get TV coverage and websites offering player ratings. I’ve never noticed any correlation between pre-season results and what happens when the season gets going. Once again we have seen a number of youth players given a run out in the games against Ferencvaros and Dagenham & Redbridge. Usually they disappear for good after pre-seson but hopefully some of the current crop can make a valuable contribution once the season starts for real. George Earthy and Lewis Orford in particular look to be exceptional prospects.

Of all the gaps in the squad in the squad, it is the long running absurdity of West Ham’s efforts to sign a striker that garners most attention. Can they get it right this time around? Not if the answer is believed to be Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Callum Wilson or Eddie Nketiah they won’t. One of the most comical transfer stories of the window so far has been the suggestion that Nketiah is available for £50 million.  There is a fashion of linking failed bit-part Arsenal players to the London Stadium. Another trending in recent weeks has been Reiss Nelson, a player whose only claim to fame is scoring an added time winner against Bournemouth. Even on an Arsenal blog, the author doubted the move would be sensible or prove good value for the Hammers. Avoid!

My personal preference continues to be Ivan Toney who appears not to have the long line of suitors anticipated. He is the type of all-round striker who can both score goals as well as getting involved in build-up play. I could see him working well with Jarrod Bowen and Mohammed Kudus. Ideally, the club should have been signing a player like Toney while he was at Peterborough. Just as Brentford have signed Toney’s replacement, Igor Thiago, from the Belgian League side Club Brugge.  Maybe Jhon Duran from Aston Villa can develop into a superstar striker but  with no other realistic striker option in the squad – I am discounting any further involvement from Michail Antonio – it would represent a single point of failure and a huge risk.

If there is one decision to get right, it is finding the right striker.

West Ham Monday Briefing: Friendly Fire, Striker Search and South Americans

The summer internationals come to and end just as West Ham prepare for their very first friendly under the leadership of Julen Lopetegui. Meanwhile the Hammer’s search for a striker continues.

Ferencvaros Friendly Fire

The culmination of a marathon day of football saw the conclusion of both the Euro 2024 and Copa America 2024 finals. Spanish flair saw them run out deserved winners against a plucky but passive England, while Argentina’s greater depth earned extra time victory over an unlucky but exhausted Colombia. Now we are able to fully focus once again on the deluge of transfer chatter for the upcoming domestic football season.

It’s now less than five weeks to the big kick-off as clubs await the return of their international stars and jostle for position to bring new players in through the doors, and farm the old ones out. In what had been promoted as a busy transfer window at West Ham has yet to get out of second gear despite the huge overhaul needed to rebuild the squad. Now they prepare for tonight’s opening friendly against Ferencvaros in Austria.

The Hungarian champions are one of teams I recall from my youth competing in the European Cup. A time when it was a proper knock-out competition rather than the money-making circus it has become today. Along with the likes of Dukla Prague and Red Star Belgrade they featured regularly in repeated Subbuteo simulations.

Early season friendlies such as this are little more than a chance to stretch the legs, and will feature only a handful of next season’s first team squad. Potentially there will be a first glimpse of Max Kilman and Luis Guilherme in a Hammer’s shirt, plus an opportunity for several youth players to showcase their abilities. It may also provide clues on the future of Flynn Downes and whether he has a future at the club following his shameful shunning by the Scottish manager. In the scheme of things, Julen Lopetegui will be learning more about the character of the players on the training ground than in matches like these. Kick-off is at 3 pm BST.    

Transfer Chatter Update

It’s been another quiet week on the transfer rumour front with only six new names added to the West Ham target list. The list now totals 117 players and with rumour resources becoming stretched, speculation has resorted to stories that West Ham are rekindling interest in those named earlier in the window. There are many of them to go around. The major rekindling of the week has been Steven Bergwijn who is a big “No” from me, simply because of his past life in N17.

The noisiest rumours in the past seven days have surrounded Juventus centre back Federico Gatti – reported to be the target of a host of clubs – and the ongoing two-horse right back race between Kyle Walker-Peters and Aaron Wan-Bissaka. If that is the extent of our choice, then I would take Wan-Bissaka every time for his far superior defensive attributes.

There was also a first sighting in this window of a player issuing a “come and get me” plea to the Hammers. In this case it is Jean-Clair Todibo of Nice who has a hankering for London’s east-end. The defining factor for who ends up as Kilman’s central defensive partner(s) will, no doubt, be determined by the ultimate size of the budget. After all, we have yet to see any movement for that most expensive and elusive of characters, the striker.

Ullo Jhon! Gotta A New Striker

The persistent striker link of the last few weeks has been Jhon Duran from Aston Villa. The Colombian is supposedly something of a hothead who is unhappy with living in the shadow of Harry Kane’s England deputy, Ollie Watkins.

Still only 20 years old, Duran is an exciting prospect but with limited top level experience. He was in the Colombian squad at Copa America but spent the entire tournament on the bench. It feels like a big risk to put all your trust in an untested striker although, thankfully, the people responsible for making decisions know far more than me. The same applies to David Datro Fofana from Chelsea who looked very sharp when playing on-loan for Burnley against the Hammers last March. Presumably he would be happier to play as second fiddle to a more experienced striker than Duran would. It seems everyone should have a Fofana in their squad these days – like it was trendy to have a Dembele a few years back, and a Cisse before that.

The Ivan Toney situation is one to keep an eye on as the number of potential suitors steadily fades away. In the last year of his contract, Brentford will be keen to cash in – especially as they signed Igor Thiago from Club Brugge as a replacement in January – but will be aware that only a small number of clubs will be able to come close to their valuation. With West Ham preferring initial low-ball offers, any deal has to be many weeks away. He would still be my first choice though.

The search for a striker promises to have and extended run up until the close of the window. Some of the names mentioned are exciting, others fill me with dread – nailed on inductees into the West Ham striker hall of shame. Please let it not be Kelechi Iheanacho.

Paqueta And Other South Americans

The future of Lucas Paqueta remains up in the air. And will stay there until uncertainty is lifted on the charges made against him by the English Football Association. This may yet take many months. I struggle to see any benefit for West Ham in sending him out on loan or selling him at a knock-down price to one of the clubs in his native homeland. The only logical conclusion is that he will be a part of Lopetegui’s squad for as long as it takes for the investigation to conclude.

The boys from Brazil were hugely disappointing in the Copa America. Surprising when there is so much focus on their young talent that their performances were so workmanlike. Paqueta was one of many in the Brazil side who struggled to impress as they increasingly resorted to long balls during their quarter final elimination by Uruguay. He looked a far cry from the player that Manchesetr City were allegedly prepared to pay £85 million for.

Elsewhere, in the tournament several of the Colombian players caught the eye. The other Jhon linked with a move to West Ham, Jhon Arias, was a regular starter throughout the competition. Not as reported a winger, but part of a midfield three. His game was more about working hard than flair and did not impress as a potential Premier League player.

The Colombian who did stand out for me was Richard Rios who currently plays in Brazil for Palmeiras. He is a central midfielder who looks good in transition, loves a dribble and possesses a goal threat.

Our old friend Enner Valencia (now 34 years old) was captaining Ecuador who were elimintaed on penalties to Argentina in the semi-final. Sent of in the first group game, he missed a penalty in normal time against Argentina in a game that Ecuador were very unfortunate to lose.

West Ham Monday Briefing: Value Added Max, Forward Thinking and Right Back Where We Started

Kilman signs as Lopetegui and Steidten present exciting ambitions for making a big noise at the London Stadium. Reasons to celebrate or proceed with caution?

Julen, Julen, Julen, Julen, please don’t sign him just because you can

With six weeks to go to the big kick-off, West Ham have finally signed a player likely to feature as a starter in the curtain raiser against Aston Villa on August 17. The announcement of Max Kilman’s arrival confirming that Jolen Lopetegui had secured his primary defensive target.

A change of leadership is often the catalyst for optimism and last week’s press conference by Lopetegui and Tim Steidten swept a breath of fresh air through the corridors and stairwells of the London Stadium. Listening to the pair speak produced a positive and energetic vibe that must surely permeate throughout the club over the coming months. If only West Ham had the technology which allowed us to hear the questions from the journalists as well as the answers.

Lopetegui’s statement that he intended to approach every game in the belief that his team can winn was especially encouraging. Supporters are well aware that it will not always come off but the approach is music to our ears after many seasons of insecurity and respecting the point. There is a real feeling that the playing side of the club id finally in good hands and with a sound structure. I am confident that having taken on board the wisdom of the pundits, that my wishes are now fully compliant with appropriate health and safety guidelines.

Lopetegui has also spoken about the club’s recruitment philosophy of finding players and improving them with coaching. It makes eminent sense and along with developing players from the youth system is the most sensible strategy for a club like ours in the contemporary world of FFP and PSR. The approach is not necessarily reflected in the names being thrown around in the transfer gossip columns (the latest count has grown to 111 names) which continue to major on big name, high price tag targets. The difficulty is that reinforcements are badly needed and time is slipping away. The pace of signings has to increase as well as remaing shrewd. Let’s not get sidetracked by free agents just because they are available.

Congratulations, You Have Just Met the DCF

With all the new financial rules and regulations associated with football the saloon bar supporter needs to be as expert about amortisation as they do about tactics: “I do like the way Guardiola deploys inverted full backs but not so keen on his prefernce for real option pricing in valuing intangible assets.”  It’s a whole new ball game of smoke and mirrors.

There were a range of opinions on whether the Kilman fee was good value or not. He is clearly a fine player and was a known target for the coach – which must be a bonus. As a supporter, the size of the fee is only really relevant in terms of how much remains to spend to fill the many remaining gaps in the squad. The estimated net spend for this window to date now stands at £36 million. So, what is left in the war chest for signing another five or six players, assuming additional funds will also be available from the sale of Nayef Aguerd and Kurt Zouma? Anywhere between £10 m and £100 m perhaps.

A few eyebrows were also raised about the seven year contract awarded to Kilman. This was not an attempt at the scam used by Chelsea to write off transfer fees players over a lengthy time period – that practice was banned a while back. Player value can only be written down over the length of a contract up to a maximum of five years. More probable is that it is a way around any wage structure in place at West Ham. If we assume Kilman will be paid close to £60k per week – he was allegedly on £50k at Wolves – the deal will cost the club (from an accounting perspective) £11 m for 5 years plus £3 m for an additional two years after that – £61 million in total. There is a faint whiff of string up problems in the future.

Right Back to Basics

If the likelihood of a transfer taking place is proportional to the number of times it is repeated, then the next signing will be Kyle Walker-Peters from Southampton. Much of the rationale is that Flynn Downes may be going in the other direction in what is commonly touted as a swap deal.

Last week the full back pursuit was being presented as a choice between Walker-Peters and Aaron Wan-Bissaka. It seemed odd that if a set of defined performance criteria were being analysed by a data expert that it would come up with those two options – unless the criteria were: must have a double-barrelled name and be able to also play on the left in an emergency. Wan-Bissaka is one of the stronger defensive full backs in the league but does not offer much going forward. While Walker-Peters is mediocre as defender but very competent when in possession. I suppose it depends what system is being played and what the main attributes of the full back need to be. Personally, I worry about how effective small full backs like Walker-Peters can be in the modern game where the trend (i.e. what Pep is doing) is towards a backline of six footers. Hoping for better options!  

What do we want? A striker! When do we want one? Now!

The most eagerly awaited news of the summer will be the signing of a new striker. In all probability, two are badly needed. One with a reliable and proven track record, the ther with potential as one for the future. The striker conundrum has particular significance at West Ham due to the many past failures who have been unable to make their mark. It has been our lot for most of the Premier League era.

At least 20 strikers have now been linked with a move to the Hammers since the transfer gossip window sprang open at the start of June. Some rumours are lazy journalism (Romelu Lukaku), some hang around for a while before disappearing (Jonathan David) and others you just pray are someone’s idea of a joke (Tammy Abraham, Kelechi Iheanacho). The rumour of the week is Alexander Sorloth whose purple patch at Villareal last season has put gloss on an otherwise undistinguished career – including a spell at Crystal Palace.

As I see it, acceptable front-runners would be Ivan Toney, Youssef En-Nesyri, and possibly Jhon Duran. En-Nesyri obviously has previous with Lopetegui but is in danger of becoming one of those names that is perennially linked but never comes to pass. Toney may be the best. His betting indiscretions – and the risk of it being repeated – may be preventing bigger clubs taking a gamble, so perhaps there is an opportunity to take advantage as Redknapp did with Di Canio all those years ago.

Careful What You Wish For 2: The Takeover

West Ham takeover fever is back in the news this week with self-styled football consultant, Keith Wyness claiming that exploratory talks are underway to put the club up for sale. Many will say “not before time” but experience elsewhere suggests this has far greater potential to go horribly wrong than a change of manager. The current owners are clearly not universally loved but accusations of their greed and penny-pinching can be greatly exaggerated. They have been prepared to spend money, unfortunately they have not done so wisely.

For all their shortcomings the owners may be preferable to the US investment funds who have taken an interest in European football in recent years but whose mode of operation is to load their acquisitions with debt. Tread very carefully!   

***

All views expressed in this article are not necessarily the opinions of any real person, living or dead – unless they turn out to be correct.

West Ham Monday Briefing: Max Kilmania, Scattergunnery, and Reasons To Be Fearful Part Three

July, she will fly, and give no warning to her flight. Time moves on, the season edges ever closer, but West Ham’s rebuilding is more about sales than purchases. Is it time yet to panic?

[ominous music playing]

I feel there has been a subtle change of pre-season mood in the last few days. Gone are the carefree claims of West Ham being busy in the opening days of transfer window, replaced by niggling suspicions that the club needs to pull its collective finger out and get a move on with recruitment.

With no sense irony, one of the more prolific transfer sites – which happily repeats each and every unsubstantiated rumour and half-truth on a daily basis – has accused the club of taking a scattergun approach to recruitment. There is no evidence to support that. Although, we should recognise it makes perefct sense to identify several targets for each position. Success rates are likley not high once it comes down to the nitty gritty of negotiating terms and contracts.

Past performance does not cast the Hammer’s hierarchy as stealthy and agile operators when it comes to signing players. For them, no potential deal can’t be improved by an extended period of petty haggling. Can they really sign six or seven players in a few weeks?

The first pre-season friendly takes place in less than 21 days and the big kick-off is now under seven weeks away. Not long to rebuild the squad and schooling them to play a whole new ball game. Perversely, the most significant rebuild activities to date have been even more outgoings as we bid a fond farewell to Said Benrahma, Ben Johnson and Divin Mubama. Nayef Aguerd and Kurt Zouma are expected to follow. Of the two signings, Luis Guilherme is one for the future while Wes Foderingham will be mainly employed carrying the kit and slicing the half-time oranges.

It leaves a lot of work to do and not much time to do it in. Every team in the modern Premier League is based around roles and organisation. If the expectation of Julen Lopetegui is to transform West Ham into a possession-based side playing out from the back, then that has to be drilled into the players over and over again on the training ground. If half of those players have yet to be signed, then the challenge increases exponentially.

Unless the pace of recruitment picks up significantly, we may well be in for a very slow start to the season. It would be sure to put added pressure on a coach, who may not enjoy the longest of honeymoon periods, and with the careful-what-you-wish-for brigade sniping from the sidelines.

[money being counted]

The dilemma facing West Ham is hoping to get recruitment done early while signing players at bargain prices. Unless they are desperate to raise money, selling clubs hold most of the cards in the early days of the window. If there is perceived competition for a player then why would they accept a low-ball bid now rather than hold out for a better deal?

This is perfectly illustrated in what has been reported on the pursuit of Max Kilman, a player who is allegedly one of the Hammer’s top targets. If Wolves don’t need to sell and there is also interest from Manchester United and Newcastle, they would be daft to agree now to a bid that didn’t meet their valuation? The time for compromise comes towards the end of the window. But only if they are resigned to losing him and need to fund a replacement. Personally, I believe it is time to move on. It is wrong to get fixated over a single player (Jesse Lingard?) and at an asking price of up to £45 million there must be better value out there.

None of us know how much West Ham are prepared to commit to on player transfers and wages in the summer . There are external limits imposed by PSR/ FFP but these are different to any restrictions that may arise from funding or cash flow. I read one self-appointed club insider who, having studied O Level Accounting, came up with a figure of £55 million. Several rumour sites have picked this up and have been running with as a fact. While I doubt the figure has any credibility, I suspect the club’s summer plans were predicated on cashing in on the sale of Lucas Paqueta. With that option not currently available, it does raise awkward question about what assurances were given to a coach who has previous with broken promises. Selling any of the club’s few remaining player assets would only make the rebuilding job even more problematical.

[indistinct transfer chatter]

It has been a disappointing week for the transfer target table with only 12 new names coming to my attention. The full list (click here) now stands at 98 targets having failed to breakthrough the century barrier. No doubt the ongoing Euros and Copa America has diverted attention.

With the window now fully open in the major European leagues, activity may start to accelerate until it ‘slams shut’ on 31 August. According to the Transfermkt website, the Saudi Pro League window runs from 17 July to 6 October. Their unlimited millions may well have ramifications for Premier League clubs.  

Several of this week’s additions – Lukaku, Walker-Peters, Wan-Bissaka – would have been right up the Scottish manager’s street. Hopefully, there are now loftier ambitions.

[checking for minor hidden infringements]

It was refreshing to see England finally make a telling contribution to Euro 2024 when the PGMOL contingent imposed its finicky interpretation of VAR onto the Germany – Denmark game. About time people spent more time discussing the refereeing talking points than the action on the pitch. Don’t mention the VAR.

West Ham Monday Briefing: Rampant Rumours, Lopetegui’s Magnificent Seven Signings, and Striker Light

While we are distracted by the Euros the new Premier League season creeps ever closer with less than eight weeks to go. Will the new look West Ham be ready to go for the ball?

I Heard A Rumour

Keeping tabs on West Ham transfer rumours seemed like a fun idea at the outset. It would be an amusing distraction during the long summer days and nights as the Hammers sought to rebuild their squad out of the shambles left behind by the Scottish manager.

But the early enthusiasm is rapidly becoming as tiresome as a general election campaign. I had bargained on the flow of rumours settling down after an initial flurry, but the speculation shows no sign of slowing. It’s not, though, the number of rumours themselves that cause the distress. It’s having to wade through three-paragraphs of discharge on the background to Julen Lopetegui’s appointment before getting to the point of the story. Is there an Artificial Irrelevance engine that churns out this stuff?

Following another record week of gossip, we have now reached 86 potential targets – and there are sure to be some I have missed altogether. Still, I’ve started so I’ll finish – in the hope that in the real-world Tim Steidten is quietly masterminding recruitment behind the scenes.

There are two deviations in this week’s rumours. The first is that wonderkids have been replaced in the headlines by starlets, although it is not obvious what the differences are. Perhaps a starlet is a little older or a little bit less exciting than a wonderkid. The second is the slightly more worrying trend of the Hammers being linked to assorted detritus deemed surplus to requirements at other Premier League clubs. Dominic Calvert-Lewis, Callum Wilson and a clutch of Arsenal academy rejects, for example. The type of players who would have been on the previous manager’s shopping list. Forget your new-fangled data driven analysis, these guys might be too old, injury prone, or not much good, but hey, they do have Premier League experience.

The pursuit of Wes Foderingham is turning into a classic long running West Ham transfer saga. Quite what data needs to be crunched to sign a veteran, 3rd choice, emergency use only goalkeeper is anyone’s guess. Perhaps a check of his stats can confirm whether he is competent enough at putting the cones out during training.

Magnificent Seven Signings Needed In The Next Four Weeks

With the fixtures now issued, the tick of the clock is gradually sounding louder. It is only 54 days to the start of the new season, and 26 days to the first friendly against Dagenham & Redbridge. As things stand, Luis Guilherme is the only new arrival – nad he has been signed for potential rather than immediate impact. Time looks short for bringing in the required number of bodies and getting them organised to play the way the coach wants them to. Otherwsie a slow start to the season is guaranteed.

I was not a scholar of the way that Lopetegui played during his time at Wolves. A general summary of his preferred approach is: playing out from the back, adopting a high back-line, providing width from the full-backs, keeping hold of possession and energetic pressing. If that is the aim at West Ham, then very few of the current squad are equipped to deliver it. The only obvious contenders are Alphonse Areola, Edson Alvarez, Jarrod Bowen, Mohammed Kudus, and Lucas Paqueta. While Vladimir Coufal, Dinos Mavropanos, Emerson, James Ward-Prowse, and Tomas Soucek can provide useful backup, they don’t feel like starters in such a system to me. The assumption is that both Ben Johnson and Nayef Aguerd will be leaving anyway.

It represents quite a gap between desire and reality – even worse if some of the chosen few are tempted away or sacrificed in order to raise funds. This would leaves major priorities as a completely new backline, a mobile defensive minded midfielder, and a striker or two. As a minimum, a further seven signings are needed on board – and quickly.

My Kingdom For A Striker

I counted at least four number one transfer targets in the media during the week. My impression of the most persistent of the very many links seemingly being Max Kilman, Ryan Sessegnon, Youssef En-Nesyri, and Jayden Oosterwolde.

Although estimates of transfer kitty size should always be taken with a pinch of salt, I am not convinced that splurging a significant part of whatever funds are available on Kilman would be a wise move. If the fee is as reported in the £35 – £40 million range, there must be better value out there for a central defender. If big money is going to be spent in any position it has to be for a striker. West Ham’s woes in that department over the past dozen years or so is the stuff of legend. A revolving door of non-scoring duds. It is the most important position to get right and unfortunately, the most difficult one to fill on a budget.  

None of the striker names tat have been mentioned so far really get the juices flowing. And there are several that I hope have zero foundation to them, including Calvert-Lewin, Abrahams, and Wilson. Of the other players linked none have been especially prolific throughout their careers. I can understand why the familiarity of En-Nesyri would appeal to Lopetegui as a known quantity for his system, but he has never caught the eye when I have seen him play. Perhaps taking a gamble (no pun intended) on Ivan Toney would be the smart move despite his poor form after serving his ban – as well as the worry that he might well re-offend. At his best Toney is an excellent all-round striker with an ability to link up play and a healthy goalscoring record.

There does seem to be an incompatibility about the rather deseparate situation West Ham find themselves in on transfers. If you need to bring in many new players as early as possible in the window, then the opportunity to hold out for the best deals is limited – especially where there is competition for signature. But if you end up paying top dollar to get your man, there is less money remaining to satisfy the other gaps needed to be filled. A few minor miracles are required from Tim.

Naturally, the situation is not helped by the ongoing uncertainty over the future of Paqueta. Surely, even the Saudis wouldn’t be dumb enough to cough up a barrel load of oil money while the risk of world-wide ban is still a possibility. Incidentally, the latest from Paqueta Island is that no suspicious activity on the timing of polling day was found, but a lot has been staked on the Prime Minister being awarded a green card after the election.

This week’s list of unlikley transfer targets is shown below. You can see the entire 86 names here.

West Ham Monday Briefing: Wonder-Kidology, AI Addio, and a Norwegian Claret & Blue

This week’s West Ham waffle welcomes Luis Guilherme to the London Stadium and wonders on the wisdom of wonderkids

You Can’t Win Anything with Wonderkids

West Ham got their first transfer of the summer over the line last week with the signing of 18-year-old Brazilian Luis Guilherme. By all accounts his capture is something of a coup for the Hammers with the player having attracted plenty of interest from across Europe.

It was interesting to get the insight of South American football ‘expert’ Tim Vickery on Guilherme. Vickery clearly saw him as a very special talent, although one for the future rather than the here and now. In the context of West Ham needing to rebuild in all areas of the pitch, it is both an exciting and controversial first signing for the new regime. There has to be a delicate balance between building for the future and remaining competitive in the present.

We can only wait to see how he is deployed in the current season. Under the Scottish manager he could be expected to accumulate around 27 added-time substitution minutes before Christmas. Hopefully, Lopetegui has other plans to bed him in.

Vickery’s comments that the Paqueta betting scandal had worked in West Ham’s favour were rather bizarre. Admittedly it might have prevented him leaving the club in the short term, but a lifetime ban would represent a massive financial hit. The way that football finances now work, a large incoming transfer fee is a necessary boost to keep the squad refreshed. Like it or not the West Ham operating model in the current envirobment has to be built on buying bargains and selling on at a profit after a season or two of service.

If the reports are to be believed, the Hammers interest in wonderkids has not been exhausted by the signing of Guilherme. Suggestions persist that they continue to track Wesley Gassova of Corinthians and Ibrahim Maza of Hertha Berlin. Not only that but they are also in the market for one-time wonderkid, Ryan Sessegnon. Still only 24, Sessegnon was sold to Tottenham as a 19-year-old before being struck down by Spursy Syndrome. Could a move to the London Stadium work as an experimental cure for this debilitating north London disorder?  Or do nine out of ten wonder kids end up the same way as Sessegnon?

The Summer Transfer Smorgasbord

No sooner had the virtual ink virtually dried on last week’s article lamenting why so few Scandinavians had represented West Ham, when the club were linked with a move for giant Celta Vigo striker Jorgen Strand Larsen. According to an imaginary tweet by Fabrizio Romana, the would-be Norwegian claret and blue was pining for the old Fjord United sports ground, now the home of the Hammer’s Rush Green training centre.

In a further show of my visionary powers I will now throw out the suggestion that it’s about time West Ham finally recruited an Asian player. It is a feat that has so far eluded the club despite the countless shirt sales that such deals are alleged to bring in.

Otherwise, it has been a strangely quiet week for adding new names to the target speculation list. Most of the stories appearing online having been recycled from previous reports – the transfer rumour equivalent of endless repeats on Dave.

The obsession on rumour sites has been the signing of wingers even though Lopetegui is believed to operate without them – at least in their traditional getting to the byline and pumping in crosses role. He prefers to use his full backs for that.

We have to believe that links to Raheem Sterling are simply someone’s idea of a joke and I will sleep far more soundly once Tammy Abraham finally signs for another club. Neither of those options would shout smart recruitment to me with their current clubs desperate to offload. The same goes for signing Arsenal fringe players such as Reiss Nelson or Eddie Nketiah – both would represent very poor value.

One name that did standout was Jhon Arias, partly because of the weird spelling of John but also for triggering memories of ex-West Ham winger Johnny Ayris. Anyone familiar with how Ayris’s career was effectively ended will hope Chelsea are not currently scouting a full-back called Rhon Hairyass.

Below are this weeks latest targets. The full list of 64 players can be found here.

AI Addio: We’re Gonna Win The Cup

I used to have a dystopian nightmare that bothersome spectators would eventually be banned from attending live football games. The atmosphere for the ‘more lucrative’ TV audience being simulated by a combination of AI and CGI technologies. I;m convinced this is now possible but , of course, there is a very good reason why this cannot happen – the increasingly important role of annual revenues in the way that football clubs must operate. The size of revenues determines how much a club are allowed to spend of player transfers and wages.

Club revenues are typically categorised into Broadcast, Matchday and Commercial earnings. Broadcast revenues map directly to performance on the pitch and particularly to final Premier League placing, plus any European income. If West Ham and Tottenham finished close in the standings, then their Broadcast revenues would be roughly the same. But look at the most recent data in the Deloitte Rich List, and you will notice that Tottenham are streets ahead of the Hammers in Matchday (€135m vs €47m) and Commercial (€261m vs €58m) income. Although West Ham will show a large increase in Commercial income for the following year this is only because of the sale of Declan Rice.

Quite why there are such huge discrepancies between the two clubs is difficult to work out. After all, the Hammers are run by self-proclaimed business experts. The dilemma is that if West Ham are to progressively invest in the squad, they need to either squeeze matchday spectators for more money or regularly sell players at a profit. Neither course of action will be popular with fans as has been seen with the protests over season ticket price rises and removal of concessions.

It leaves West Ham and others hoping to break into the elite levels of league with a Gordian knot of a problem.

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Don’t forget the Premier League fixtures for the 2024/25 season are released tomorrow morning.

West Ham Monday Briefing: Sleepless in Sao Paulo, Crime and Punishment, and Transfer Window Waffle

The boys from Brazil once again dominate the news from the London Stadium. Could there be two new ones on the way, and will another be receiving a lifetime ban?

Sleepless in Sao Paulo

Many years ago, I remember tuning in to Radio 5 on the drive home from work to hear that West Ham had signed Eyal Berkovic. There had been no weeks of chatter and speculation beforehand. No mention of monitoring the situation, preparing bids, and holding talks. It was a good old-fashioned swoop in classic Harry Redknapp style.

Today there are no such stealthy manoeuvrings in the world of football transfers. I don’t know if it is true at all clubs, but details of West Ham’s recruitment plans are as leaky as last season’s defence. As if the media have a Where’s Tim app that can track his whereabouts at the touch of a button. And if media reports are to be believed, every transfer pursuit follows the three-act format of Romantic Comedy screen play – meet, lose, and get.

Tim (played by Hugh Grant) tracks down a beautiful potential signing, they get along famously, the player is excited about the London Stadium project and appearing in the Premier League, the club see him as a perfect fit for the progressive football model being built at West Ham. Then everything goes horribly wrong. The Chairman (Bill Nighy) can’t agree contract terms. Sporting Directors from other Premier League teams have been following matters on Newsnow and attempt to hijack the deal. Clubs from oil rich nations get involved (Four Beheadings and A Funeral) splashing piles of cash that would double his weekly salary. As the credits roll Tim makes a last gasp dash to the departure gate at Sao Paulo airport waving an improved offer from London in his hand.

Crime and Punishment

The Lucas Paqueta betting investigation rumbles on with the player’s representatives requesting an extension to the original June 3 deadline for responding to charges. No new date has yet to be agreed. The noises being made last week were that the FA would be pushing for a lifetime ban should Paqueta be found guilty.

Now, it could be a case of the claret and blue tinted spectacles kicking in, but a lifetime ban feels completely disproportionate to the severity of the offence. It’s a huge stretch to interpret being yellow carded as an attempt to fix the outcome of a match. The most ridiculous aspect here is that bookmakers allow bets to be placed on peripheral and easily influenced events like throw-ins, corners, and yellow cards in the first place. Just another case of their greed, I suppose. Happy to take your money as long as they hold all the cards, yellow or otherwise. The role of Betway in this affair should not be overlooked. Wouldn’t a quiet word have been more appropriate than a full-scale whistle-blowing that could result in one of their partners losing out on £85 million. The idea that a gambling firm was overcome with a sense of moral responsibility must be pure fantasy.

Then there is the FA, an organisation who have happily accepted Russian gangsters and murderous nation states as fit and proper football club owners, getting on their high horse over a prank by a bunch of Brazilian islanders. An independent regulator is looking more and more like a sound idea.

Speaking of authoritarian club owners, the Premier League are now being sued by Manchester City for discrimination because they have been prevented them from funnelling even more cash into the team that has just won their fourth consecutive title. City’s case also complaining bitterly about the ‘tyranny of the majority’ in Premier League decision making – or democracy as we call it.

We are programmed to dislike all the ‘big six’ clubs but City are now the most despised in my opinion. I would love to see them expelled from the league and stripped of all their titles when the hearing into the 155 breaches of rules is finally heard. But that is never going to happen!

Breaking News: Transfer Update

Only four days to go before the transfer window officially opens and the speculation keeps on rolling in. Speculation continues to be dominated by Brazilians with strong rumours that Luis Guilherme is about to become the first signing of the Lopetegui era. A worrying trend in recent days has seen Guilherme regularly described as a wonderkid. It is a term that has historically been applied to youngsters who eventually disappear without trace. A second stuborn rumour is that the Hammers will lso be signing Brazilian centre-back Vitao.

We should not forget the final exciting update of the transfer week as West Ham have seemingly fought off stiff competition to capture the signature of Wes Foderingham as third choice keeper.

A further 15 names have been added to the speculative target list this week as shown below. The full list of 52 linked players can be viewed here. Even if most are made up, they are a better class of speculation than we were used to under the Scottish Manager (it is bad luck to mention him by name). No more Maguires, McTominays or Brownhills on the list – although Tammy Abraham remains a worry.

There is Nothing Like a Dane

Apropos of nothing, I was looking through the annals of Scandinavians who have turned out in a West Ham shirt. Given the love of their gods for hammers, it is a very short list. There are currently 14 Danes, 8 Swedes, 5 Norwegians, and 1 Finn playing in the Premier League. But none at the London Stadium.

It has not been a fertile area of recruitment at the club with the most successful in terms of both appearances and goals being Marc Rieper. I was very sorry to see him go when he left for Cletic.

Here is the full list: Rieper (101 apps, 5 goals), Jaaskelainen (61, 0), Ljungberg (28, 2), Jacobsen (26, 0), Nordtveit (21, 0), Carew (21, 2), Tihinen (10, 0), Soma (9, 0), Alexanderson (8, 0), Samuelson (2, 0).

West Ham Monday Briefing: Blank Czechs, Everyone Wants a Brazilian, and VAR Check Incomplete

In this week’s round-up we look at shot shy defenders, South American Hammers and Thursday’s vote on the abolition of VAR. Plus the latest names added to the transfer shopping list.

In case you are already suffering Premier League withdrawal symptoms, a reminder that there are just 11 days to the opening of the transfer window, 15 to the publication of new fixture lists, and 75 to the start of the 2024/25 season. In the interim there is the opportunity to watch the Euros, prepare for the club’s pre-season tour, and follow the relentless stream of transfer gossip.

One of the positions that has rarely surfaced in the flood of transfer speculation to date is any new faces at right back. With Ben Johnson likely to leave this would leave the door open for another season as first choice to Vladimir Coufal. Let’s face it the squad has too many issues to fix them all in a single summer. If that is the case then it would allow Vladimir to close in on super Thomas Repka’s modern day record of most games for a West Ham outfield player without a goal. At present Repka leads the race by 188 to 153. It would be an easy target to achieve with another full season for the wayward Czech international.

I know that many are keen to point out that football existed before the Premier League was formed, so let’s look at the all-time records. Topping the leader board is William Cope (1914 – 1922) with 258 games but his claims come with the caveat that a large part of his career was war-time football – not usually included in career statistics. Next in line, and peacetime record holder, is Alfred Earl (1925 – 1932) with a total of 206 appearances at right back. Tied with Repka in third place is left-back Charlie Walker (1936 – 1946) – another whose career which included war-time competition. The other centurions from (my) living memory are Keith Coleman (1973 – 1977) and Danny Gabbidon (2005 – 2011) with 122 and 113 games respectively.

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As clubs strat to circle for their early summer signings, Tim Steidten has reportedly been shuttling back and forth to Brazil in an attempt to increase the samba quotient in the threadbare West Ham squad. Early targets are said to be Fabricio Bruno, Wesley Gassova, and Luis Guilherme. With the Bruno deal apparently stalled due to wage demands, the chatter on what will be first deal of the season has since switched to the 18-year-old Guilherme. It would be an interesting move to sign such a young player – no matter how talented or exciting – unless it was felt he could be a regular starter in a punishing Premier League season.

Much, of course, will depend on how the Lucas Paqueta situation eventually pans out following the recently announced FA charges. Whatever the outcome, it is unlikely to be resolved quickly leaving a high chance that he will feature in the Hammer’s plans during the opening part of the season. It will also mean no injection of external funds to finance the rebuild.

There are now more Brazilians in the Premier League than from any other country, other than England. The last count stood at 34, ahead of France (28), Republic of Ireland (27), Spain (25) and Portugal (22). They have not all been a rip-roaring success with the West Ham experience being less than sparkling. A fact that applies equally across the band of South American players who have donned the claret and blue. Of 22 South Americans, only Manuel Lanzini has made it past 100 games. The best was probably Carlos Tevez, whose stay was disappointingly short. The worst was Carlos Sanchez. Pablo Zabaleta and Nobby Solano were great players but came to West Ham too late in their careers.

The full cast of South American players to feature in at least one first team game is shown below. There has yet to be a Bolivian or Venezuelan Hammer:

Argentina (Lanzini, Zabaleta, Tevez, Zarate, Calleri, Scaloni, Mascherano, Tarrico)
Brazil (Paqueta, Anderson, Ilan, Nene)
Chile (Margas, Jimenez)
Colombia (Sanchez, Armero)
Paraguay (Balbuena, Montenegro)
Uruguay (Poyet, Lopez)
Ecuador (Valencia)
Peru (Solano)

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On Thursday, Premier League clubs will vote on the proposal put forward by Wolves to scrap VAR. The indications are that it will not get the support of the 14 clubs needed to carry the motion. It has been reported that West Ham will be voting for its retention. The attitude of the clubs is a strange one. The general consensus is that VAR has made the matchday experience for supporters significantly worse. Any marginal improvement in the perceived accuracy of decisions – remembering that many are subjective anyway – is offset by a loss of spontaneity and prolonged review times. The feeling being that games are being officiated by faceless technicians in Stockley Park.

Against that, the TV media have grown to love VAR and the ‘talking points’ that it gives them. Presenters have made VAR checks part of the entertainment for the uncommitted hoe audience. It has also given them a sense of power as they view replays and listen in to the conversations of the VAR team. Decisions are announced in many cases before the referee and supporters in the stadium get to know. It is not a good way to treat the paying customers.

The best hope from Thursday’s vote may be to prompt a serious review of VAR’s remit. Their campaign to leave no stone unturned in finding a reason to disallow a goal has to be curtailed.

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It has been a quieter week on the gossip front with only 14 new names to add to last week’s total. A few shockers on the list which we can only hope have no substance to them.

West Ham Monday Briefing: New Coach Class, Paqueta’s Cautionary Tale, and Tim’s Smart Recruitment

Out with the old and in with the new at West Ham. But a lot of hard work is needed to freshen up the small and aged squad left behind and prepare them for a very different style of play.

That’s another season fully wrapped up. We now know the full lineup for the 2024/25 Premier League season and which of those clubs will be playing in the new convoluted format of European competition. The latter not being something that will involve West Ham this time around.

The season had ended for the Hammers the previous weekend with a typical Moyesball performance. The ten men behind the ball containment plan failing to make it beyond two minutes and taking all the wind out of Super Sunday’s sails. Manchester City should have been out of sight by the break until a stupendous Mohammed Kudus strike briefly gave the game the impression of a contest. But rather than attempt to capitalise on the hosts sudden jitters, it was back to Plan A for David Moyes, and the outcome became a formality. West Ham once again playing their part as perfectly obliging last-day opponents.

It is acceptable for people to have differing views of Moyes time at West Ham. Anyone is entitled to believe he did a fantastic job, but I imagine that view is skewed significantly by the Europa Conference win. An average league finish of 9th over four seasons is roughly what should be expected for a club of its size. But achieving mediocrity in such a dull and cautious fashion was always the biggest beef.

What I cannot accept, however, are claims that Moyes left the club in a better position than he found it, A quick scan through the squad list should immediately dispel claims that it is in good shape. Having spent in excess of £400 million on player recruitment it is a shambles. It has often been said that Moyes ‘prefers’ to work with a small squad, as if that was ever a reasonable position for a club playing two games per week for large parts of the season. It was negligent, not reasonable. Anyway, we are now able to draw a line under the previous manager’s tenure and need never mention him again.

Julen Lopetegui was finally announced as West Ham’s head coach this week and it already feels like a breath of fresh air is blowing through Rush Green. How long that lasts will depend on the success or otherwise of the massive rebuilding job required in the upcoming transfer windows. The task is to big to fix all the problems in a single window. And it’s not just a case of bringing in the numbers, they also need to be bedded down into a style of play that is the polar opposite of the last four years. If it tkes eight to ten games to do that, then the pressure may be on.

The video released by the club on Lopetegui’s first day was obviously stage-managed for the sake of positivity, but there was a good feel to the relationship between the coach, Tim Steidten and Mark Noble. Maintaining that will be critical in the coming months for squad management, recruitment and bringing youth players into first team consideration.

The Lucas Paqueta situation has surely put a spanner in the works of the summer recruitment plans. Any thoughts of cashing in on a £85 million release clause to fund incoming transfers are now firmly on hold. Although, to be honest, I’ve struggled to understand how his maverick approach to the game would fit within the structure of Pep Guardiola’s keep-ball philosophy.

It is impossible to know how the charges will pan out with the FA. Do they have hard evidence or is it just a case of looking dodgy?  There will need to be more than suspicious circumstances and a slow-motion VAR-style trial of Paqueta’s yellow-cards to justify ending someone’s career. And what are the timescales involved? The Ivan Toney case seemed to drag on for some months and Manchester City have been in the dock for almost 18 months over their 115 charges. If Paqueta is implicated, what was he thinking?

It is ironic that Betway were the whistleblowers in the case. The gambling industry is one of the most immoral and unscrupulous of all businesses and the sooner West Ham break the connection with them the better. Taking bets on throw-ins, corners, and yellow-cards is just asking for trouble.

The summer transfer window officially opens on June 14 but already the rumour mill has been running red-hot. Here is a cut out keep guide to the stories seen so far – I’m sure some have been missed.

We can only speculate on the positions Lopetegui and Stediten see as the priorities in sorting out the current mess. If the intention is possession-based football with a high press, high backline and with width coming from the full-backs then there’s not much to work with. A new striker, a couple of centre-backs, a new right back, and a defensive midfielder as a minimum.

Recruitment is going to have to be smart. It seems highly unlikely the club will be shopping in the £40 – £50 million aisle – certainly not for defenders. Tim is going to have to earn his corn and live up to the pearl-diving reputation.

It will be interesrting to see how the Flynn Downes resolves itself. Most supporters saw a very good player there but the manager who is no longer mentioned just didn’t fancy him. He can only have improved with a year at the top end of the Championship orchestrating play in a passing side – and there is the benefit of qualification as one of the homegrown contingent. While meeting the target of eight homegrown players enables the maximum 25 man squad to be achieved, no benefit is derived from registering a homegrown player if he is unlikely to ever feature e.g. Aaron Cresswell.

It is going to be a fascinating summer at the club with early business essential to ward off those recurring bad dreams whereby the intellectual lightweights of the pundit fraternity – Sutton, Crooks, Collymore and co – are whispering “be careful what you wish for” in my ear. COYI!

West Ham visit the Etihad Stadium this weekend, but it will take a miraculous turnaround in form and recent history of the fixture to deprive Manchester City of their fourth title in a row.  

It was back in early March as the season approached the three-quarter mark when I tried to assess our chances of finishing in the top seven which would probably give us the opportunity to qualify for Europe next season via our finishing league position. At that time I looked at the teams who were in 6th to 11th, and they were as follows (all had eleven games remaining apart from Chelsea with twelve)

6. Manchester United 44 points (27 games)
7. West Ham 42 points (27)
8. Newcastle 40 points (27)
9. Brighton 39 points (27)
10. Wolves 38 points (27)
11. Chelsea 36 points (26)

I looked at the degree of difficulty in the remaining fixtures for each side based upon the position in the league table of their remaining opponents at that time. The degree of difficulty factor suggested that Newcastle had the easiest run-in with the average positions of opponents as follows: Newcastle 12.2, Manchester United 11.7, Chelsea 10.6, Wolves 10.0, West Ham 9.5, Brighton 9.0.

I then predicted the results of each teams remaining games with a formula based upon fixtures remaining, whether or not the remaining games were home or away, and the results when the sides met earlier in the season. Additional factors included games against the top 5 teams, and games against each other. This gave me a prediction of the final standings:

6. Manchester United – 61 points
7. Newcastle – 57 points
8. West Ham – 57 points
9. Wolves – 55 points
10. Chelsea – 54 points
11. Brighton 51 points

Bookmakers at that time had Manchester United and Newcastle finishing sixth and seventh, Brighton and Chelsea above us in eighth and ninth with West Ham just scraping into the top half in tenth. It was just a bit of fun, and my gut feeling was that we’d be fortunate to do as well as this, I wrote that perhaps tenth was just about right. Football matches are notoriously unpredictable to forecast which stems from various factors like team dynamics, player and overall team form, European and FA Cup games to play, the Thursday / Sunday mix which is often an issue, injuries, and even unpredictable events during a game, as well as all sorts of other miscellaneous factors.

With the final games to play on Sunday, 6th downwards reads as follows:

6. Chelsea – 60 points (H v Bournemouth)
7. Newcastle – 57 points (A v Brentford)
8. Manchester United – 57 points (A v Brighton)
9. West Ham – 52 points (A v Manchester City)
10. Brighton – 48 points (H v Manchester United)
11. Bournemouth – 48 points (A v Chelsea)
12. Crystal Palace – 46 points (H v Aston Villa)
13. Wolves – 46 points (A v Liverpool)

My original thought that 57 points might just be enough for 7th was just a little short of the mark. Chelsea have finished the season strongly, and Newcastle have done well since the turnaround in their game against us, but other contenders such as Manchester United, Wolves, Brighton and ourselves have been inconsistent. After a poor start to the season Bournemouth have improved considerably, and Crystal Palace are second only to Manchester City on recent form with 16 points from their last six games, but their improvement was much too late.

We have 52 points and I will be very happy but massively surprised if we add to that in the final game. We are five points shy of my prediction; those five points were lost in two home games that I was hoping we would win, against Burnley where we drew 2-2 and Fulham where we went down 2-0. Other than that I would have been spot on. We might have even exceeded the 57 point mark had we held on to our 3-1 lead in Newcastle.

But it was not to be and our poor record in the latter half of the season has let us down after entering 2024 in sixth place. We are guaranteed to finish in ninth place (exactly halfway between my forecast and my gut feeling) whatever the outcome this weekend. We are eighth when it comes to scoring goals, but in the bottom four when it comes to conceding them, and therein lies the main problem.

In our articles throughout the season, particularly in the last few months, we have discussed what we believed were the shortcomings of the manager, but this will be his last game and we must now await was lies ahead in the summer and beyond.

Social media articles have already started the Lopetegui in / out debate before he has already been officially announced as the new ‘head coach’! The two sides have been debating whether or not he will lift us off our seats with enterprising, entertaining, attacking football? Will he be far removed from what we have witnessed in the past four years? How good is his record? To me on paper it looks very sound, but he has had some good teams / players to work with (Porto, Spain, Real Madrid, Sevilla). His overall record as a manager shows a 57% win rate from over 400 games.

Statistically, David Moyes record (in a West Ham context) is very sound too, but results in the last season and a half have been less than convincing apart from the European adventure and trophy. The football played in so many games has not been good enough, tactically he has been left wanting frequently, and we have suffered a number of heavy (embarrassing) defeats.

I won’t enter the debate on the new head coach until he is here and will wait to see what happens in the next few months. He certainly has a big job to do in overhauling the squad with many out of contract and ageing players. David Moyes apparently likes working with small squads and it certainly caught up with him in the end.

I have been thinking about some of the players that we’ve sold or sent out on loan in the last year. Pablo Fornals was a Spanish international when he came to us, did a reasonable if unspectacular job here, and now at Real Betis is creating more chances than virtually everyone in the Spanish league. Thilo Kehrer, a German international, never seemed to be at his best here, yet just take a look at his spectacular statistics at Monaco. Said Benrahma, superb for Brentford, comes to us, clearly not fancied by the manager, confidence disappears, is now turning it on at Lyons. Flynn Downes, always looked a decent player to me when given an opportunity here, but allowed out on loan to Southampton, where Russell Martin described him as their key player in the push for promotion. Freddie Potts, on loan at Wycombe, their player of the year. Perhaps one or more of these could have been more than useful in the squad in the disappointing second half of the season where a European place beckoned at the turn of the year but faded in 2024. But no we turned to Kalvin Phillips, a seasoned England international but way off the pace sitting on the Manchester City bench who has cost us millions. That turned out well, didn’t it?

Several positions need strengthening but for me a key priority is at the back, in particular central defence where for so long we have lacked pace to deal with the speed of Premier League attackers. Will Paqueta stay? Personally, I’m not bothered either way. He has undoubted talents but application can be lacking at times, and I’d hope that the £85million could be spent as wisely as it was when Declan Rice left a year ago with Kudus, Alvarez and JWP, all of whom I believe can offer much in the future if used in the right way, in the right positions, alongside Hammer of the Year Jarrod Bowen.

For some time now our Academy and youth teams have produced outstanding results, but this has not been reflected in players coming through into the First Team squad. There are high hopes for George Earthy and I would hope others too can get opportunities in the squad. Hopefully the new head coach will be able to bring on the youngsters more than has happened in recent times.

We’ve been known to spoil a Manchester party in the past but it is hard to imagine us halting the City celebrations this time around. At the end of the game at Tottenham they were celebrating as if the title was already theirs with just little old West Ham with the fragile defence to come in the final game. They were preparing their abacuses to take to the game.

Unlike a number of social media posts I’ve read where supposed West Ham fans want us to lose to deprive Arsenal of the title, because of their dislike or hatred of Arsenal and the Rice factor, I am in the opposite camp. You are entitled to your opinion but I hold an entirely different view. I may dislike some teams, but hate? No.

I would never ever want us to lose a game to influence what happens elsewhere. To any of you who want us to lose why not consider the bigger picture? If we did manage to hold or even (very unlikely) beat Manchester City then just think how brassed off Tottenham fans will be that Arsenal have won the title and West Ham were largely responsible for that happening. Surely you dislike Tottenham even more than Arsenal?

I always want us to win every game we play. I have no problems with Declan Rice and wish him well – he did a great job in a West Ham shirt. Personally I’d be more than happy if the Manchester City domination of the Premier League title was broken.

But realistically it would take a miracle. But miracles do happen very occasionally. Bookmakers have City at 1/12 to win the game (and the title) with West Ham at 20/1 and the draw at 11/1.

An interesting summer lies ahead.