According to newspaper reports Slaven Bilic has received the dreaded vote of confidence from joint-chairman David Sullivan who cited last season’s achievements and the Croat’s passion as reasons why his position as manage is not currently under threat. Sullivan also claimed that there was a great spirit among the playing staff.
Last night’s result at Middlesbro ensured that West Ham kept out of the bottom three for the time being but there is no doubt that the club are part of the relegation battle. With a trip to Liverpool on the immediate horizon the chances of being below the line after the next round of matches are high. After that there will be a run of theoretically easier matches which will take us to the halfway point of the season. It is not unreasonable to suggest that the outcome of those matches may well lead to a reappraisal of Sullivan’s position on Bilic.
The table below shows West Ham’s record at the midway point in those more recent seasons where we have flirted with relegation.
|
Season |
After 19 Games |
Final Table |
||||||||
|
P |
W |
D |
L |
F |
A |
GD |
Pts |
Pos |
Pts |
|
|
2002/03 |
19 |
3 |
5 |
11 |
18 |
35 |
-17 |
14 |
18th |
42 |
|
2006/07 |
19 |
5 |
3 |
11 |
11 |
24 |
-13 |
18 |
15th |
41 |
|
2009/10 |
19 |
4 |
6 |
9 |
28 |
35 |
-7 |
18 |
17th |
35 |
|
2010/11 |
19 |
3 |
7 |
9 |
19 |
32 |
-13 |
16 |
20th |
33 |
|
2013/14 |
19 |
3 |
6 |
10 |
18 |
28 |
-10 |
15 |
13th |
40 |
|
|
||||||||||
|
2016/17 |
14 |
3 |
3 |
8 |
15 |
29 |
-14 |
12 |
|
|
In each of these seasons we had failed to average a point a game by midway and so were behind the curve for the supposed 40 point survival barrier. In every season apart from 2009/10 (Zola) the second half worked out better than the first but in two of those 2002/03 (Roeder) and 2010/11 (Grant) we ended up being relegated; in 2002/03 with a record 42 points for a relegated club.
in 2009/2010 West Ham only collected a paltry 35 points but were still 5 points clear of relegation and in 2013/14 (Fat Sam) a 40 point haul saw us end up as high as 13th while 41 points in the 2006/07 (Curbishley) great escape season left us in 15th courtesy of the unexpected win against the champions at Old Trafford.
After the Grant experience Sullivan was reported as saying that they had stuck with Avram for too long and that it wasn’t a mistake that they would repeat. Now he appears to be willing to give the manager another transfer window in order to turn things round; suggesting that there will be no decision before some time in February. I am not convinced that this makes sense and, if it were me, I would be setting a target of 20 points by the end of the year. Achieving this would require a return of 8 points from the following 5 games:
11 December Liverpool (A)
15 December Burnley (H)
17 December Hull (H)
26 December Swansea (A)
31 December Leicester (A)
This should not be an unrealistic if we have an experienced manager who is able to get his team to perform. Our season must not simply depend on the hope that there are 3 worse performing teams in the league than us.
Scanning through the list of results over the years for the week 5 – 11 December the one thing that stood out was the number of times that West Ham have conceded 4 goals; let’s hope it is not an omen for the week ahead.
Crisis, Dilemma, Emergency, Disaster, Mess
It seems that we can now all stop worrying as, if reports are to be believed, the unplayable, unstoppable Andy Carroll is ready to return for today’s late kickoff against Arsenal. Here comes the messiah and the cavalry all rolled into one to destroy that easily intimidated Arsenal defence who really ‘don’t like it up ’em’. A repeat of last season’s hat-trick heroics is a mere formality as we unleash our favourite blunt instrument on the soft north Londoners.
Thirteen rounds of games in the Premier League have now been completed. That means we have now predicted the results of 130 matches. In Week 13, Rich scored 12 points, Geoff 7 points, and Lawro 9 points.
It is relatively rare these days to play the same team twice in successive matches as West Ham visit Old Trafford for the second time in four days. It was a more common phenomenon in the past where home and away fixtures against the same club were scheduled during the Christmas and Easter holidays or when drawn weekend cup matches were replayed on the following Tuesday or Wednesday.
The West Ham fixture list of death rolls onto Old Trafford today for the first of two games in a week against Manchester United; a Premier League clash followed by the League Cup quarter final tie on Wednesday. When points are at a premium any old straw is suitable for clutching and a Sunday game against opponents recovering from Thursday night European action can offer a glimmer of hope. Disappointingly this was no many thousand mile round-trip to an outpost in far-eastern Europe and a bruising encounter with uncompromising opposition but a stroll in the park at home against Feyenoord. In many ways the worst possible result for West Ham’s hopes that will give an unconvincing Manchester side renewed sense confidence before returning to today’s league action. The Hammers on the other hand have had a whole week to dwell on the late, late surrender of three points at White Hart Lane last weekend.