#reddevils – Under The Hammers

We are only eight games into the Premier League 2024-25 season, which I would suggest means that it is still early days for our new head coach Julen Lopetegui. But there is no getting away from the fact that West Ham have made a poor start to the campaign. As we were overrun by a rampant Tottenham in the second half of last Saturday’s early kick-off many fans took to social media sites making the case that Lopetegui’s team are no improvement on that of David Moyes. The “be careful what you wish for” brigade reared their head once again. The head coach has apparently asked for fans to judge him next May. Is that an optimistic request with the patience of fans wearing thinner after each passing game? Did I say passing game? Oh yes, our new style.

Just one more game, the two o’clock home game against misfiring Manchester United on Sunday will bring us virtually up to the season’s quarter point stage. How long should the bedding-in period last? Surely our Spanish coach with a distinguished career in charge at Porto, Real Madrid, the Spanish National team, and Seville deserves more time? Some say yes, others are not so sure. As for ‘distinguished’ then despite Europa League success at Seville and guiding them to qualification for the Champions League, wasn’t he sacked there and at Real Madrid following a string of poor results in each case?

He lasted barely two months at Real Madrid, but three years at Seville. Prior to his Spanish appointments he began his senior managerial career at Porto in Portugal, one of the two most decorated clubs in Portuguese football with a massive budget but was dismissed in under two years, failing to win any silverware in the process.

Prior to his appointment at West Ham he had a ‘relatively successful’ few months at Wolves guiding them to thirteenth after taking over a team in a poor position. However, that reign was ended apparently due to reported financial constraints at the club and other alleged disagreements and he left by mutual consent.

The early days here show an unclear identity and tactics, an attack that based on goals scored that ranks in mid-table (=10^th), a leaky defence where only three other Premier League teams have conceded more so far (identical to Moyes defence too for the whole of last season) (=17^th!), a slow midfield lacking creativity (Rodriguez, Alvarez, Soucek), and despite highly lauded transfers in the summer still one of the oldest squads.

We have lost four of the opening eight league games, but not just lost, we have been comprehensively beaten in some. Are we just not good enough or has the quality of the opposition been too much? Three goal margin league defeats to both Chelsea and Tottenham, and an even greater (four goal) deficit to Liverpool in the League Cup bear comparison to some of the heavy defeats last season.

For some reason unbeknown to me, Summerville has barely been given much opportunity, but when he has had limited chances he has looked lively and promising. Guilherme and Soler have been barely used, whereas Paqueta, despite obvious skills has failed to impress, his commitment is questioned by some with ongoing uncertainty over his situation following match-fixing allegations which are dragging on (with his mind, perhaps not surprisingly elsewhere) but he continues to be selected.

Fullkrug, not everyone’s choice for the forward we so desperately needed, has been injured, and with irony we look from a distance as Duran goes from strength to strength pulling up trees at Aston Villa. On top of all that we will now be without Kudus for three matches after his meltdown and red card at the weekend.

Following a summer transfer spree there is now mounting scrutiny on West Ham’s technical director Tim Steidten too. Supporters always want someone to blame when things are not going as well as hoped, although how long will it be before it will once again be directed at the owners as well if our poor run continues?

Based on what I had read I don’t think Lopetegui would have been my choice to take over from Moyes, although a change was needed to improve from where we were, and hopefully to give us a more enterprising brand of football. It doesn’t have to mean entertainment at the cost of results as some ‘Moyes in’ supporters constantly claimed. Just look at Brighton. Their fans are in dreamland, not only because of the results and position of the club, but because of the football they love to watch both home and away that their team give them.

My personal view is that it would be too hasty a decision to change the head coach right now. Whilst we are not in trouble (and I hope it doesn’t come to that) as a fan I hope he can turn it around, although at the moment there doesn’t appear to be solid evidence that he will. I also wonder if he has the support of the players? The impressive win against Ipswich before the last international break gives us some breathing space, but how patient will the fanbase be? Many social media sites (although not necessarily a true reflection of the fanbase as a whole) seem to suggest that discontent is growing. The vultures are circling waiting and watching for the opportunity to strike.

We face a Manchester United team this weekend in similar disarray with vultures circling around there too.

Do you think we should keep Lopetegui in charge, or is it already the time to change? What do you think?

The midweek Europa Conference game against Silkeborg ended in the type of unexceptional victory that has become commonplace in the late stage group games. West Ham were all but assured of top spot prior to kick-off and the visitors would have been aware that next week’s home fixture against Anderlecht was their key to progressing in the competition. The game really should have been more of a stroll for the Hammers but once their finishing was about as convincing as a politician’s promise.

Still. it was good to get a first competitive glimpse of Nayef Aguerd. Without being tested it provided an encouraging teaser for we might expect from a speedy, ball-playing central defender. There was also an accomplished performance from Conor Coventry. He may be some way down the defensive midfield pecking order – unless David Moyes fancies picking four of them together at some point – but he is now firm favourite for the tidiest haircut since Scott Parker award.

I can’t help thinking the club is going a little over the top with their seven home wins on the trot marketing campaign, especially when considering the quality offered by much of the opposition. I suppose they were games that needed to be won, though. As for the Conference, we can now look forward to the most pointless match ever held for next week’s trip to Bucharest. Are we allowed to field the Under 13’s?

Sunday sees a return to league action against another of the sides enjoying the rigours of Thursday – Sunday football. Manchester United have now guaranteed group qualification but must triumph at Real Sociedad next week to avoid the play-off round lottery in the Europa League.

Trips to Old Trafford may not be as fruitless for West Ham as they are to Anfield, but there’s not much in it. The Hammers have returned with all the points on just six occasions since 1958; just twice in the Premier League era with the last time being the great escape in the final game of the 2006/7 season. With an equally dismal record against Manchester City, and even Everton proving a regular bogey side, trips to the north-west rarely turn out well. Since the Hammers most recent return to the Premier League they have lost 31 of 42 league matches played in Manchester and Liverpool (won six and drawn five). Indeed it is a record that has been passed down from manager to manager.

Although facing the Red Devils is nowhere near as daunting as it once was, it should be pointed out that Liverpool, Arsenal and Tottenham have already been beaten this season at Old Trafford. The home side may not yet be credible title challengers but they will certainly be in the mix for a top four finish.

Then there are the lurking perils of VAR. If you cast your mind back to the equivalent fixture last season, the home side won the game with the last kick of the game. Despite a strong suspicion that Cavani was offside before he played in Rashford to score, the goal was expediently awarded with indecent haste. No three or four minutes of line and angle drawing at Stockley Park on this occasion – the players were back in the dressing room by then.

I have run the numbers and the eXpected VAR balls up ratio (xVAR) comes out as 1.9 : 0.2. This week our fate is in the hands, whistle and mouse of Chris Kavanagh (referee) and Paul Tierney (VAR). The current standard, consistency and subjective nature of officiating reminded me of playing football over the park as kids – with the legendary jumpers for goalposts. If you shouted ‘post’ or ‘over’ quickly and loudly enough, it was often all that was needed to get a goal chalked off!

I think most West Ham supporters expect a further dose of David Moyes cautious medicine tomorrow. Initiative will be surrendered, opposition will be shown too much respect, defending will be as deep as possible, all in the hope of scoring on the break. His well-known inferiority complex preferring to hang on passively rather than forcefully targeting the host’s weaknesses.

With Lucas Paqueta again nursing his mysterious shoulder injury, Moyes may well persist with the unusual defensive midfield triumvirate of Declan Rice, Tomas Soucek, and Flynn Downes that featured against Bournemouth. It screams lack of creativity and ambition but may just work if the three selected further forward are predominantly attack minded players – e.g. three from Said Benrahma, Gianluca Scamacca, Jarrod Bowen, and Michail Antonio. At the rear the much-missed Craig Dawson is adding weight to the axiom that West Ham injuries always take longer to heal than originally anticipated. Dawson partnering Kurt Zouma in the centre with Thilo Kehrer and Aaron Cresswell as full-backs provides a solid enough backline.

The hosts may make several change to the team that shot three past Sheriff in midweek, with frequent West Ham irritant Rashford replacing the increasingly petulant Ronaldo. As usual the Red Devils have a surfeit of attacking talent but invariably look shaky at the back. If only West Ham could bring their clinical shooting boots with them.

Interviewed after the Silkeborg game, Aguerd (very good English) said the team set out to win every game. Is that true, does he believe it, or hasn’t he been around long enough to know differently? Observation and experience suggest the first priority is not to lose every game. Who knows, perhaps the spots on the leopard can be purposefully re-arranged this weekend? More probable, I think, is a goal apiece draw. COYI!