One Man, One Goal, One Mission: Is Ings The Key To Overturning Freiburg Deficit

West Ham have enough firepower to come through the Europa League tie with Freiburg. But winning games by more than one goal has not been a Moyes speciality.

West Ham’s last two games – defeat at Freiburg and the draw against Burnley – had the Moyesiah’s cautious fingerprints all over them. The brief barnstorming opening against Brentford now just a rounding error in the history of the season. A season which any sane West Ham supporter would want to end with the manager’s final farewell.

A point I have laboured at length on these pages is that the problem with Moyes is not about results but with performances – the way he approaches game. The trip to Freiburg was the perfect example. An unspectacular, mid-table opponent who had been beaten twice in the group stage and the overriding priority was to avoid defeat. This wasn’t a first leg away at the Nou Camp. And even after going a goal down, the response was to bring on another defensive midfielder. Never mind looking for an equaliser, let’s make sure we don’t concede again. The master tactician’s only attacking change was to introduce Michail Antonio in the 91st minute.

Anyone baffled by events in Germany would have been close to a breakdown when the teams were announced for Sunday’s league game. The cunning plan for what should have been a routine win against basement dwelling opposition was to set up with a bank of three slow defensive midfielders. Who could have guessed that it would allow Burnley to give us a footballing lesson in the opening 45 minutes. The resting of Edson Alvarez given his yellow card position was understandable but what was in the manager’s mind.

The half-time changes needed were obvious and completely changed the urgency on the pitch and the atmosphere in the stadium. And the later introduction of Danny Ings almost won it for the Hammers. It is fair to say that Ings time at West Ham has been disastrous in the role that he has been asked to play. And after putting in a good performance at Sheffield United he was immediately sidelined and rarely seen again. You’re either one of Moyes boys or you’re not.

From the body language at the break, I had a sneaking feeling that it was John Heitinga’s work behind the early substitutions. It just seemed too revolutionary for Moyes who was slumped in his seat.

There is an amusing moment on the TV commentary where Tony Gale was asked by the commentator if the West Ham fans were justified in wanting Moyes out. You could sense him squirming and sweating like a small-time villain under oath in the witness box as he ummed, ahhed and waffled in search of a diplomatic answer. Finally admitting that with the players available it might be possible to take more risks.

Each of the recent games involved the now customary VAR talking points. Both potential handball penalty appeals that were not awarded to West Ham. It is extremely rare to see a referee go across to the pitch-side monitor and then stick with his original decision in the Freiburg game, but no surprise it happened in a Hammer’s game. With the Burnley incident I’m convinced VAR are under orders not to spend any time looking at incidents so close to the final whistle, especially where the ball is still in play.

I don’t have any sense that VAR is getting better with age and experience. Trying to think back to the golden pre-technology days, I don’t recall many being up in arms because a striker’s shoulder blade was offside or that the ball had brushed someone’s knuckle immediately before a goal was scored. The pain points (as I remember them) were around penalty calls (inside or outside the box) and the more obvious offside decisions that had been missed. The authorities have made up a whole new set of rules as an excuse to use the technology. As a believer in the adage that the best referee is the one you don’t notice, I can’t help thinking that VAR has gone to their heads – believing they are part and parcel of the entertainment. It won’t be long before Howard Webb appears in the stands at big games to reveal VAR decisions with a Caeser like thumbs-up/ thumbs-down signal.

It is blatantly obvious that the team to face Freiburg in the second leg needs to be similar to the one that started the second half against Burnley. Lukasz Fabianski in goal perhaps, Jarrod Bowen back out on the right, Lucas Paqueta in the middle behind the striker and Mohammed Kudus on the left. The dilemma is whether to start with Ings or Antonio in the striker role. With Freiburg likely to be sitting back the predatory skills of Ings might be preferably, as long as he is not left isolated. I am sure we will see them both at some point of the evening. I’ve a feeling Ings will be the evening’s unlikely hero, assuming Moyes makes the correct call.

The unfortunate Kudus draws the short straw in this lineup as the person picked to play out of position. The left-wing berth preventing him from cutting inside and shoot on goal.

It is difficult to see any circumstances where it is a good idea for Tomas Soucek and JWP to start in the same midfield. Although both have specific skills their overall contribution in open play is poor. Perhaps a team can carry one, but not both.

Picking the defensive lineup is also problematical on current form and injuries. If Emerson is out injured the only alternative seems to be Aaron Creswell who too easily loses concentration these days. In the centre, Zouma is crocked, Aguerd has lost all confidence, and Oggy has mysteriously disappeared – after two clean sheet appearances against Arsenal and Brighton he has played just one minute of football. Personally, I would opt for Oggy and Dinos in the following line-up:

Fabianski, Coufal, Mavropanos, Ogbonna, Cresswell, Alvarez, Soucek, Bowen, Paqueta, Kudus, Ings

If Moyes team-sheet doesn’t reflect this, he should be given his bus fare and sent home before kick-off.

Occasionally, there are fleeting thoughts entering my head that it wouldn’t be so bad if we lost this one. Not if it means getting rid of the manager.  But once the game starts, I only want victory, no matter what. The reality is that the Europa League is all that’s left of the season and hope has to be kept alive for as long as possible. I’m confident we can beat Freiburg but winning games by more than one goal has not been a core competency in recent times. Let’s make it an exception tonight and, please, try to get it done without extra time and penalties. COYI!

There’s Only One ‘F’ In Freiburg: Can West Ham Recover From Their Fulham Fiasco

West Ham complete their Europa League group campaign with a title decider against Freiburg. Will they bounce back from Sunday’s humiliation to top the group and head straight to March’s Round of 16?

Well, the euphoria that followed victory at the Tottenham Hotspur stadium didn’t last long, did it? And what a come down it was. We are well used to dull and dreary performances under Moyes, but it is a rare to be on the wrong end of a submissive, overwhelming drubbing like the one handed out by Fulham at Craven Cottage.

There were two mitigating excuses put forward by the manager after the game. One was the stomach bug which had allegedly affected several of the players; the other was a general sense of fatigue from the team’s hectic fixture schedule. Both may have played their part but equally they highlight a lack of depth in the squad and the inadequacies in the way that it is managed. Despite all the investment in playing staff we have barely progressed from the days of Harry’s bare bones.

When the teams were announced on Sunday it was obvious that a defensive midfield pairing of Thomas Soucek and James Ward-Prowse would likely prove vulnerable. Neither is an effective replacement for the stricken Edson Alvarez – just as they hadn’t along the road at Brentford. With Flynn Downes unceremoniously sent out on loan there just isn’t cover for the role protecting the defence. Just as there is little cover in the squad for several other critical roles. It is a sad indictment of the club’s transfer and youth policies.

The two changes Moyes made for the game, bringing in Aaron Cresswell and Pablo Fornals also raised alarm bells. As good a servant as Cresswell has been at West Ham, his best before date for top-flight football expired at least two years ago. And it’s a shame about the likeable Fornals. There simply isn’t anything special enough about his game for him to prosper in the breakneck pace of English football – and, certainly not as left winger. Was he selected to cover for Cresswell? It was said later that Fornals was among those suffering from the sickness bug, so to pick him ahead of Said Benrahma or Maxwell Cornet seems baffling?

While we can have some sympathy for player’s suffering from fatigue, it is one of the responsibilities of management to deploy available resources shrewdly. You will hear ex-pros saying that players prefer to play games rather train but the intensity of games is increasing all the time. And the Moyesball style of play requires more running than most. It is all the more perplexing therefore, that the same players are asked to put in the majority of minutes game after game. Substitutions are few, are usually made late in the day, and are often the same predictable like for like switches.

Is the rest of the squad so full of duds or is it that Moyes only likes or trusts his chosen few. Don’t the fringe players need minutes to build confidence and find their feet? In all league games this season, Divin Mubama has 56 minutes, Thilo Kehrer 21, and Cornet 1. Ben Johnson and Conor Coventry have yet to feature at all. Mubama is also the only academy player to find his way onto the pitch in any game in any competition.

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There was at least some positive news during the week as Manchester United and Newcastle crashed out of this season’s European competition. They will not now be dropping down into the Europa League. Whether AC Milan or Galatasaray represent easier opposition should the Hammers draw them is a matter of opinion. The immediate hurdle for West Ham’s Europa League ambitions is to avoid defeat tonight. If they can, they will top the group and bypass a tricky Qualifying Round in February.

In effect, the Hammers start tonight’s game with a one goal advantage from the away leg in Germany. The dilemma is whether the manager sets out to extend or defend that lead. Past performance suggests he is most likely to opt for the latter.

The away game in Germany was arguably West Ham’s best performance in Europe this year, overcoming a partisan crowd and bumpy pitch to run out as 2-1 winners. Apart from that defeat, Freiburg have won each of their other games in the group, including two storming 5-0 home victories against Topola and Olympiacos. These goalscoring feats are at odds with their Bundesliga form where they have only managed 17 goals in 14 matches – and just 6 in 8 games away from home. Still, they are comfortably mid-table and have enjoyed successive 1-0 away wins at Mainz and Wolfsburg in the last two weeks.

It has been reported that the sickness threat has receded from the Hammer’s dressing room and will allow Moyes to go as close to full strength as he sees fit for the game. He will surely go with his strongest lineup and there are unlikely to be any surprise selections.

My prediction for the game at Fulham was that it would be decided by the odd goal – well five’s an odd number, isn’t it? Regardless of that abject failure, I will predict the same again tonight. In fact, I can see it ending 1-0 – but who to? Whatever approach West Ham adopt at the start of the game, we all know that the final ten minutes (plus added time) will be one long, nail biting, edge-of-the-seat agony. Plus ça change! COYI!