It hasn’t been going too well has it? Is there a timeframe for our head coach to prove himself? I guess it can vary depending on several factors. Lots of our fans are giving their views on social media. How much ambition does the club truly have? What are the resources available? How much patience does the West Ham board have? Will they want to admit that they may have got it wrong again? Are they prepared to pay for a change? How much patience do our supporters have? Here are a few considerations:
Our new head coach should surely be expected to have shown some immediate improvement or at least a clear direction within the first few games after taking over. This might be in the form of improved performances, better team morale, or a more cohesive (and entertaining?) playing style. Have performances improved this season so far compared to last? We are 14th in the Premier League having picked up 11 points from our opening 10 matches. I’m not sure about team morale. Are all the players on board with understanding the tactics, the team selections, and the direction that we are heading in? What is our playing style?
Should a full season be considered a reasonable period to assess the impact of a new head coach? He asks to be measured next May to give him time to implement his tactics, work with the team through a full schedule, and make necessary adjustments during transfer windows. Is that realistic in the modern football world?
Clubs looking for sustained success may want to give a new manager more time to build a squad to implement their long-term strategy. This can mean 2-3 seasons, especially if the club is undergoing a significant rebuild or transition period. This may be true for clubs with lower expectations who might allow more time for a manager to develop the team. But we are a top-tier club and we demand quicker results. Managers just don’t have the time to implement a long term strategy without results and a clear direction showing improvement.
Ultimately, it’s a balance between patience and the need for results. The key is consistent progress and a clear sense of direction for the team. But Lopetegui will find himself under increasing pressure if the results don’t improve soon. He believes he needs time as we had a lot of new faces in the summer transfer window. Yes, it has been an inconsistent start to the season and as a fan going back to the late 1950s I kind of expected that it might not be great to begin with, and it would take time.
But I find his team selections baffling and as for formation well that seems to be changing all the time. Team selection (has he begun to work out his best team yet?), formation and tactics show no consistency. I appreciate that different opposition may necessitate a change of approach but clearly it is not (yet?) working.
What do you think is a fair amount of time for our new head coach to prove himself?
Oddschecker give odds on the next Premier League manager to leave his post, and of the seven major bookmakers who have a market for this Lopetegui is the favourite on all of them at odds of between 13/8 and 15/8. Russell Martin and Gary O’Neil are next in the betting. Social media and the written press are full of it and names being banded around to take over include Kasper Hjulmand, Roger Schmidt, Sebastian Hoeness, Graham Potter, David Moyes, Frank Lampard, Edin Terzic, and Jose Mourinho to name a few. Yes, some more ridiculous than others. They were spot on with the last favourite to leave who was Ten Hag. I read that Jim White on Talksport has a source allegedly close to Sullivan who apparently said that if West Ham lose 5-0 to Everton Lopetegui will still retain his job.
It is probably a little premature to talk about Saturday’s visit of Everton to be a six-pointer, and while we are averaging over a point a game a relegation struggle is not (yet?) an issue. But should we be beaten in this game then we will be overtaken by them and fall into 15th place at least with more than a quarter of the season gone as we enter the third international break.
It won’t be easy coming back after the break with a Monday night trip to Newcastle and then a Saturday home game against Arsenal to take us to the end of November. News that the Kudus three match ban will be extended by a further two games to include Newcastle and Arsenal is not good news. What started as a yellow card in the Tottenham game, that then was upgraded to red following a VAR review, that became a three game ban has now turned into a five game ban. How many other five game bans have been incurred this season?
Alvarez’s red following two yellow cards was our third this season, and his second! Yellow cards are mounting up too. Paqueta leads that (for West Ham) with five (in all competitions), including one in each of the last three games. However, we are not that indisciplined as we are in the bottom half of that league table too with 19 in the 10 league games played. Chelsea lead the way with 30.
Six more games in December will take us up to the halfway point in the season which comprise visits to Leicester, Bournemouth and Southampton, and home games against Wolves, Brighton and Liverpool.
And if you like your football at three o’clock on a Saturday then I’m afraid you won’t be happy with the eight games between now and the end of the year. Just one of the eight is scheduled to be 3pm on the traditional football day of Saturday (Brighton on 21st December). The other seven include three Monday 8pm kick-offs, a Tuesday 8.15 game, a Thursday 3pm (Boxing Day), Saturday 5.30pm, and Sunday 5.15pm.
Everton’s start to this campaign is worse than ours with just two wins in their ten games (against Palace and Ipswich). However, after four straight defeats to begin the season they have only lost one of the last six (at Southampton last weekend), winning two and drawing three, leaving them 16th with nine points.
There was a period between 2007 and 2015 where Everton were considered to be a real bogey team and we failed to beat them in 15 straight games. However in recent times the results have been more balanced with four wins apiece in the last four seasons. Last season both games were won by the away side with Everton winning 1-0 at the London Stadium in October, but then we beat them 3-1 at Goodison in March coming from a goal down with the score at 1-1 when we went into added time. If we fail this weekend the pressure will mount.