Two of the Premier League’s unbeaten teams meet in a ‘top-of-the-table’ clash when champions Manchester City take on West Ham at the London Stadium this afternoon. The Hammer’s unexpectedly bright start raising the optics of the game from routine defeat to potential upset.
There are six sides yet to have tasted defeat in the embryonic table. The usual suspects of City, Liverpool, and Arsenal plus West Ham, Tottenham, and Brentford. As bookmaker odds for ending the season unbeaten are only available for the first three, there must be a different worthy cause for my 5-bob stake money.
As Richard pointed out in his article yesterday, Manchester City are a fantastic side but they are not invincible. Last season they lost five times in the league, including four while on their travels. Of those defeats, we should pay particular attention to the games against Brentford, who beat them both home and away. In concept, Thomas Frank’s approach to games last season was not too dissimilar to the Hammers. Both are well-drilled, direct, favour long balls to a target man and do not obsess about possession stats. The difference – apart from the suspended Ivan Toney probably being the best in the business at the target man role – is in the mental attitude of the two sides. Brentford play each game without any fear, regardless of opposition. West Ham over emphasise caution and pay far too much respect to the bigger teams – to the extent that they appear resigned to losing in many cases.
There is no problem in principle with setting up to be organised, resilient and hard to beat. But it was a philosophy that turned out very badly last season. Only Bournemouth and the three relegated clubs lost more games than West Ham. But that was then, and this is now. Moyes says he wants to achieve a balance between resilience and being expansive and time will tell how well that works out in practice.
It would be reckless for any team to be totally open and expansive against City – they have too many top-quality players to be gifted time and space in which to operate. But when possession is won, Moyes gameplan needs to ensure his side have plenty of bodies getting forward – that there are enough passing options – to keep hold of the ball and create goal-scoring opportunities. Simply clearing the lines in the hope that Michail Antonio can latch onto it occasionally will encourage wave after wave of opposition attacks. A tactic that only ends one-way against a side capable of producing goals from all over the pitch.
West Ham’s recent league record against the Champions is a miserable one. Since the last victory in September 2015, the winless run stands at 15 – with just three home draws in that time to boast of. If we also take account of Moyes generally poor managerial return in fixtures against top sides, then the omens are not good.
Having said that, the confidence in the Hammer’s squad must be sky high. The storming start to the season has exceeded all expectations and they will be determined to give a good account of themselves today, and next week at Anfield. The early signs suggest astute recruitment has enabled a return to the fast counter-attacking formula that worked so well in the 2020/21 season. The important thing is to maintain momentum and that can only be achieved with a plan that focuses as much on how to hurt the visitors as it does on stopping them playing. We have seen glimpses that the current squad know how to pass the ball slickly when given the opportunity, but it needs to be on show far more frequently.
Mental preparation may be the key to taking anything from the game. Ambition must be greater than hoping to keep a clean sheet and nicking one form a set piece. The attacking options now available in the squad are capable of posing problems and keeping the City defence occupied and unsettled throughout the afternoon – if allowed to. The game can’t be lost as soon as the two teams line up in the tunnel and, whatever the outcome, the visitors have to know they have been in a proper game.
Assuming everyone is fit and available the anticipated lineup is the one that started at Luton but with Thomas Soucek replacing Said Benrahma. I doubt Moyes will be able to resist the lure of the Czechs added height in the face of an expected City bombardment. I would love to see Mohammed Kudus feature from the start but fear 20 minutes or so is the best we will get. Hopefully, it is not too late by then. Similar some minutes from Konstantinos Mavropanos would also be appreciated.
The weakest link is defence today is likely to be at left back. Although I like the look of Emerson as a more adventurous wing-back, he is vulnerable aerially and to runners when asked to play in a more conventional defensive role. Where Vladimir Coufal is smart at using his body to block taller opponents, Emerson is regularly isolated and left compromised.
The visitors have an endless supply of talent to call on. It is ominous that they have had a strong start to the season when their speciality has been strong finishes. It would be no surprise if they went on to lift their fourth consecutive title at the end of the season. Can we give them something to think about? As a wise man once said: There is nothing to fear but fear itself …………. and Erling Haaland. COYI!