Can West Ham extend the Clarets winless run at Turf Moor in the Claret and Blue derby this weekend?

Once again the international break has come along to spoil the flow of the Premier League season. There have only been twelve games played and we have already had three of them! It’s an absolute nonsense in my opinion and even more so for anyone who chose to watch England’s final two qualifying games for next year’s European Championships. Fortunately I was too busy watching some paint drying and therefore missed the spectacle of a 2-0 home win against mighty Malta and a point gained in a 1-1 draw in North Macedonia. Did I miss anything? Those I’ve spoken to who did view the games suggested not.

I’m not too sure of the injury situation for this week’s visit to Turf Moor but at one stage it was looking decidedly bad. Antonio had to be substituted after 20 minutes in Jamaica’s game, Bowen had to withdraw from the England squad and Kudus had a problem too. Hopefully it is not as bleak as was initially reported but it does make you think back to the summer transfer window, and the astonishing decision to not strengthen the squad in an attacking sense. It was inexplicable, perhaps inexcusable to sell Scamacca and not replace him before the current campaign got underway. And looking ahead to the beginning of next year and the African tournament, we could potentially lose Kudus, Benrahma and Cornet for a time. In the coming winter transfer window we have got to add to our attacking potential and hopefully with footballers who fit into the system. Perhaps Mr Steidten has a few aces up his sleeve. I certainly hope so.

In any event the comeback win against Forest in the final fixture before the break after a lacklustre first half performance means that with just under a third of the season completed we have crept back into the top half of the table in ninth position. And we sit just three points below Newcastle in seventh, the last of the qualifying places that can be achieved via league position.

There are plenty of worrying statistics to consider in advance of our trip to Burnley. Somehow we often manage to help sides to end poor runs of one kind or another. Perhaps the standout one is the fact that Burnley have played six home games this season and lost all of them. We are on a record breaking run ourselves from a West Ham point of view; our last seven games against promoted sides have been wins – we’ve never done that before. Two records that could end if it goes wrong this weekend.

I see that James Ward Prowse is the leading player in the Premier League for assists this season so far with nine. And despite his consistency over a long period and his standout form he can’t find a place in Gareth Southgate’s England squad, even one that was depleted with injuries. How Kalvin Phillips gets in despite barely playing for his club, and Jordan Henderson too now he has gone abroad for the money in a poor league is beyond me.

I see that Everton have fallen foul of Financial Fair Play regulations and been docked a record 10 points for doing so. I’m not sure too many of us fully understand the regulations, and I guess the Everton bosses didn’t either to allow themselves to get into this position. Or perhaps they did and thought they’d get away with it. They become only the third Premier League side to be deducted points after Middlesbrough; 3 points for failing to turn up for a game in 1996-97. They were ultimately relegated just two points from safety. Portsmouth went into administration in 2009-10, were deducted nine points and were relegated after finishing bottom a long way from safety. The omens aren’t great for Everton although the ten-point deduction leaves them only two points from safety at this early stage, mainly due to the poor results obtained by the promoted sides, Luton, Sheffield United and Burnley.

Many believe that we were lucky in 2006-07 to escape a points deduction when we were fined £5.5 million in respect of the signing of Tevez and Mascherano, breaking the rule regarding third party ownership. We subsequently agreed to pay Sheffield United a compensation settlement in the range of around £20 million intended to address their financial losses after they were relegated. Had we been docked just three points we would have gone down on goal difference. There is a kind of irony in the Everton points deduction in that the three man independent commission which punished them included Nick Igoe who was in charge of West Ham’s finances at the time of the Tevez / Mascherano affair.

We’ve got a busy time in the lead up to Christmas which is now just a month away. In that time we’ve got half a dozen league games against Burnley, Palace, Tottenham, Fulham, Wolves and Manchester United, as well as the final two Europa League group games and an EFL quarter-final tie at Liverpool. The league games will be very important to ensure that we stay in the race for European places next season. A poor run now could rule us out of contention leaving us to settle for mid table. It would be great to get the four points needed to top the group in Europe to progress into the knock-out stages in the second half of the season too. And wouldn’t it be brilliant if we can upset the odds at Anfield and move into the semi-finals of the EFL Cup.

Have we got the depth of squad to achieve these goals? Will we splash out in the window to help us to kick on in all fronts? How will we be affected by the loss of players to the African Nations Cup? Will we still be in the mix in the race for European qualification, and still in the cup competitions when we enter 2024? Will we go all out in the FA Cup when the third round gets underway in January? If we do have serious striker problems on Saturday will Mubama get more than five minutes playing time or will the manager stick with Ings? Can the manager adopt a more adventurous approach, or will his normal caution remain? Will the second half of the season peter out with little to play for?

An important month lies ahead beginning with Burnley. Can we inflict on them their seventh consecutive home defeat of the season? Will we extend our record against promoted sides to make it eight consecutive wins? Will we have any fit strikers? COYI!

4 thoughts on “Can West Ham extend the Clarets winless run at Turf Moor in the Claret and Blue derby this weekend?”

  1. Narrow escape Richard. Missing those qualifiers that is. SO boring, especially the North Macedonia game. Thank God we weren’t playing the whole of Macedonia, as they often looked the better side. We never passed the ball forward if there was a sideways or backwards option, and our balls into the box were mostly rubbish. Possession ( at any price) football is killing the game at senior level imo.
    As for the mighty Hammers, well the spectre of starting tomorrows game with Ings leading the line should terrify all those brave souls with tickets for Turf Moor.
    I suspect our failure to recruit a striker in the Summer has its origins in the number of absolute duds we have bought in the last ten or fifteen years. Our record has been so awful that I’m guessing no one wants to put their name to recruiting the next one.
    Bytheway, thanks for reminding me that we still employ Cornet. Any chance you can tell me why?
    Best regards. Mike.

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    1. You’re right Mike we have bought so many strikers that haven’t cut the mustard. One thought about that though is how some (only some) have been successful and scored goals when they have moved on.
      Inappropriate recruitment, round pegs square holes etc. You mention Ings – a classic example. He’ll probably go somewhere from here and score a hatful of goals. Hard to believe if you watch him playing in our system.
      All the best. Richard

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    2. And Cornet! My only real memory of him in a West Ham shirt is from the controversial game when we were robbed at Chelsea. Apart from that I can’t recall anything.

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  2. Exactly. I have no knowledge of why Cornet was bought, who chose him and who didn’t want him either. Suffice to say, someone decided to not only pay a reported £17.5 million pounds for him, but to give him a three- year contract at something north of £100,000 quid a week. I guess we might get £4/5 million for him from a Championship side, but none can afford his wages, so it looks like we are stuck with him. Ironically, he seemed a decent player until he moved to us – but then so did Ings and many others. The fact is that he has done absolutely nothing for his money in the last year and, as I pointed out to Geoff Hopkins the other day, if you or I had done a deal like that in our working lives we would have been sacked on the spot. Only in football,or, to be more specific, only at West Ham!

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